MODEL OF MIGRATION IN A GLOBALIZING SPACE AND SOCIAL FORECASTING
The article reveals that the contemporary world socio-cultural space is characterized by fundamental changes in the content and nature of migration. The model of migration process taking place in the conditions of globalization is built. It represents a cross-cutting change in the way of life of the subject of migration and the resident of the host country. There are four stages in the spatial-temporal dynamics of migration: displacement, reproduction, integration, construction. Under current circumstances, the former criteria for the classification of migration, expressed in traditional terms of the policy of national States, lose their force, giving way to transnational. New trends of political, socio-economic and ethno-cultural migration are highlighted. In the migration dynamics of the socio-cultural space, two cultures should be distinguished - receiving and imported. Therefore, in the study of the contemporary mass migration prospects, a scenario approach of social forecasting should prove to be productive.