Computer modelling of options of spatial development of scientific and technological sphere in the Russian Federation
Scientific research affects all areas of our life. It’s not just a way to know the world around but it’s a source of innovations and new technologies. In todays’ dynamic environment it is increasingly important for a state to produce innovations to remain competitive on a global scale in many different spheres whether it's economy, industry or space exploration. Therefore, the sphere of research and development (R&D) of a state should be treated as a matter of special national interest. However, the level of its development and effectiveness is still hard to assess. This article provides analysis of the regional R&D in the Russian Federation in order to assess their effectiveness, diversity and to forecast dynamics of their development. Another goal of the research is to evaluate how R&D spending influences its effectiveness. The research was conducted using an agent-based model (ABM) created by the authors. This method was used because it allows to simulate a system as close to reality as possible and to conduct a large number of experiments with different input. Main result of numerical experiments is a calculation of probable forecasted values of the regional R&D effectiveness in the Russian Federation as well as the assessment of the impact of financial spending on this indicator. The forecast obtained as a result of this research has shown that more than thirty regions have a negative trend of the R&D effectiveness independently from a possible increase of financial spending in this sphere.