The state of the world economy in the conditions of the coronavirus pandemic: ways out of the crisis
The article examines the state of the economies of the leading countries of the world in the context of the spread of coronavirus infection and the introduction of restrictive measures, which led to the closure of many industries that affect international activities. The recovery of the world economy is significantly hampered by the uneven exit of countries from quarantine, which leads not only to the persistence of constraints on the demand side, but also to the persistence of gaps in global value chains. Management measures to support the economy in the short term must be designed with a view to putting countries on a more reliable, equitable and sustainable growth path. Restrictive measures, in the context of a pandemic, contributed to a decrease in the efficiency of the national economy and to a decrease in investment activity, which predetermined the launch of a new investment cycle of the national economy and a set of measures to stimulate investment. The methodological approaches used in the study will stabilize financial markets, ensure the stability of the currencies of developing countries, increase the volume of export goods, restore small and medium-sized businesses, thereby providing employment and increasing effective demand, which will help to restore the work of industries directly or indirectly affected from the spread of coronavirus infection and the development of the world economy. The study presents indicators of the level of gross domestic product in the pre-epidemic period of 2017-2019, the expected dynamics of this indicator at the end of 2020 and forecast scenarios for the development of the national economies of Russia and the world in the period 2021-2022.