Dynamics of general disability of adult population of Perm territory and its prognosis
The information base on disability of adult population in the region was analyzed, and the peculiarities of general disability prevalence with consideration of age were determined. Concluded that this index in children up to 18 years had a tendency to decrease, there were its stabilization among adults of able-bodied age and rapid increase among population of older age groups. The prognosis on the quantity of disabled people in the region for the period until 2015 with the help of regression analysis method was carried out. It was determined that when maintaining the existing tendencies there is a prognosis of the increase in the general quantity of disabled people in the krai because of increase of their quantity in the retirement age. However, there is no increase in the quantity of disabled people of able-bodied age.