CURRENT STATE OF THE DAIRY INDUSTRY: GROWTH AND DESTABILIZATION FACTORS FORECASTING
The dairy industry is the most important branch of the national economy, dynamically developing in modern conditions. The growth rate of this industry shows good values. However, producers in this sector of the economy face unprecedented difficulties, both systemic and internal. In this regard, the work not only highlighted factors that affect the dynamics of the dairy industry, but were differentiated into three groups - stimulant factors; factor-indifferents and factor-distimulants. Systemic risks associated with the agri-food policy of the Ministry of Agriculture and the Government of the Russian Federation are also taken into account when conducting factor analysis. Multifactorial correlation-regression analysis was applied to group the factors. The input information was official statistics published by the Ministry of Agriculture of the Ryazan Region and Rosstat. The coefficients of the multiple correlation equation make it possible to estimate the degree of influence of each factor characteristic on milk production volumes. The proposed classification can be used to develop the agri-food policy of the Ministry of Agriculture of the Russian Federation. Agricultural producers, acting on stimulant factors, can not only increase milk production, but also significantly increase the efficiency of their economic activities.