MODELING AND ANALYSIS OF THE TRENDS OF DEVELOPMENT OF REGIONAL ECONOMY
Carried out a study of the economy of the Smolensk region, identified a number of factors determining the trend of its development. Gross regional product analyzed in Dynamics for 2002–2014 gg. Considered the structure of gross regional product, an evaluation of the statistical relationship of a number of regional indicators. As the mathematical tools to identify statistical relationship regional indicators method of correlation and regression analysis. Modelling the development trends in the regional economy, has developed a number of models of the steam room and multiple regression to characterize the dependence of the gross regional product of regional factors. Analyses of the quality of built models are additional characteristics of the relationship of regional indicators. Implemented the forecast of the gross regional product of the Smolensk region on the future periods. Analysis of the directions of intensifying and improving the effectiveness of regional.