On Exogenous Imperative of Spatial and Temporal Dynamics of the World Order Transformation
Kondratiev waves and Immanuel Wallerstein’s cycles of world leadership are recognized leaders among the models of the forecasting in geopolitics and geo-economics. On the other hand, particular interest is the phenomenon described by Alexander Chizhevsky, such as the impact of cycles of solar activity on the social and political processes. The subject of my article is global geopolitical dynamics, for study of which I use a systematic approach and hypothetical-deductive method. In my article, I have tried to identify and analyze the correlation between the Kondratiev-Wallerstein model and Chizhevsky’s cycles to create my own model that takes into account the impact of natural (exogenous) factors on society. So, I formulate the hypothesis about some exogenous imperative that contributes to the character of social, economic and geopolitical processes in the global system. I assume the exogenous factor of solar activity is the main criterion for the change of social reality, including geopolitical expansion and transformation of the world order. I conclude: without denying Hegel’s ideas of about contradictions as the main driving force of social development, we need to understand that these contradictions are aggravated just under the influence of exogenous natural factors (nature, climate, Sun, and others).