MATHEMATICAL METHODS FOR FORECASTING AND INCREASE OF POULTRY PRODUCTS EFFICIENCY
The article deals with the problem of developing the industrial poultry farming in the Chechen Republic and reasoning the priority directions to increase the industry economic efficiency. The solution of the problem concerning the recovery of the industrial poultry breeding and its effective development is of great importance to achieve complete self-sufficiency of the population with poultry products. The article examines main principles and conditions of poultry reproduction, the industry conversion to the innovative way of development. Increase in the poultry meat production is of great importance. Nowadays in the Chechen Republic only 1,5 thousand tons of poultry meat is produced, i.e. 1,1 kg of meat was produced in 2012 per annual average capita. It does not conform to food standards and the republic has to import from other regions. Material costs remain very high in the industry. So, in 2012, the material costs for 1000 eggs reached 84,3%, and for 1cwt of meat - 86,8%. As a result, the egg production in agricultural organizations remains low-profit and meat production - unprofitable. In this connection problems of stable developing the poultry meat production become especially important. The article deals with the mathematical problem of economic developing the poultry meat production and on this basis the priority directions of the meat poultry breeding in the Chechen Republic are developed. The important factor in reducing the production costs and improving efficiency of agriculture is saving in all material resources of agriculture. The Chechen Republic since the end of 90s has not almost been reared poultry. Therefore since the end of the twentieth century poultry farming has almost been in the deep systemic crisis. Nowadays the Chechen Republic is doing everything to improve poultry breeding, but for this purpose it is necessary to develop the program.