ABOUT THE METHOD OF RESEARCH THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ECONOMIC SYSTEM AND THE METHOD TO FORECAST ITS FUTURE BEHAVIOR
Background. In the modern scientific society the application of mathematical methods on the stages of simulation of economic processes is a necessary tool for the management of economic objects. Making accurate predictions of behavior of economic systems it is necessary for specialists (analysts) at the management of economic objects and for the developers of automated control systems of economic processes of specific industries. The purpose of this study - to propose methodology for analyzing the current state of the economic system and method for predicting its future behavior based on selected mathematical models. Materials and methods. The implementation of the tasks has been achieved through the use of models of nonlinear dynamics. The developed method of the volumetric forecasting provides the most accurate analysis and forecast of the economic system. Results. The paper describes in detail the principles of the use of selected mathematical models for economic analysis. Based on given models built by the method of the volumetric forecasting, which allows to analyze the current economic situation in the industry, as well as to make its forecast for future development. Conclusions. The proposed method of volumetric analysis of the current state of the economic system and predict its behavior makes it possible not only to get a general idea of the process under study in the present, but also to control his behavior in the future.