Regression analysis of the impact of socio-economic and infrastructural factors on the production of innovative products in the economic space of the macroregion
The main strategic goal of the Russian Federation is the introduction of advanced technologies, the achievement and maintenance of technological leadership in high-tech and knowledge-intensive sectors of the economy. At the same time, the development of tools and mechanisms of public administration should be carried out taking into account the effectiveness of the use of budget funds. Because innovative programs require expenditures, and regional budgets experience a shortage of free cash, accordingly, there is a need to achieve specified results at the lowest cost. It is obvious that the activities of participants in innovation require different investments and their work has a different impact on the increase in the share of shipped innovative products. Accordingly, the task of optimizing the costs of regional budgets and building a system of relationships between participants of innovative activity becomes relevant. The established system of cooperation relations between the stakeholders, combined with the efficiency of spending budget allocations will achieve the desired results. The article presents the results of the influence of socio-economic and infrastructural factors of development of the Central Federal district and regression analysis, which allows to quantify the contribution of each indicator to the growth rate of the share of shipped innovative products in the total volume of shipped products. As a result of the regression analysis, according to the data for 2017, the degree of the impact of the population with monetary income above the subsistence minimum, the use of special software in organizations in 2017 (for design) and the number of personal computers per 100 employees to increase the share of shipped innovative products was established. The study established a close relationship between the income of the population, the use of special software (for design) and the share of shipped innovative products. In conclusion, it is noted that the result of this study allows the state to concentrate its efforts on the development of programs in which the increase in the level of income of the population and the software used for the design will contribute, firstly, to the growth of consumption of innovative products, and secondly, to its production.