COMMERCIAL AND TECHNOLOGICAL WAR BETWEEN THE UNITED STATES AND CHINA
The article shows the chronology of the trade war between the USA and China in 2018-2019 and also the reasons why Washington and Beijing took tough stances on this issue are indicated. In Moscow, this caused serious concern due to the possibility of a significant reduction in demand for Russian energy. It is established that the “shale industry” of the United States has got development prospects only due to cheap loans. Therefore, President D. Trump convinced the US Federal Reserve to lower the base rate. China’s financial response was the further devaluation of the yuan. The main directions of Washington’s anti-Chinese policy are revealed, including arms supplies to Taiwan, the adoption of sanctions by the US Congress and the use of riots in Hong Kong to pressure Beijing. Particular attention is paid to the technological war of the United States and China, in which the Americans are increasing their pressure on the Chinese companies Huawei and ZTE . Based on the analysis, it was concluded that in the near future, Americans and Chinese will be able to sign only a temporary agreement in the trade sphere. This will indicate a truce in this area against the backdrop of the continuation of the technological war. Based on these facts it can be suggested that if in the near future the US-Chinese trade war weakens in some way, then the world economy will not undergo major changes. If in 2020 such a war not only resumes, but also escalates (while such a scenario is less likely), a global financial and economic crisis may erupt. and it will arise precisely in the United States. In the meantime, for both Russia and Kazakhstan, the consequences of a trade war between China and the United States are limited.