Diagnosis and forecasting of convective structures accompanied by severe weather events based on model and remote sensing data over the territory of Belarus and central Russia
The complex diagnosis of severe convective structures (convective storms) and the analysis of formation of the mesoscale convective complex over the territory of the Republic of Belarus and its movement through the central regions of Russia are presented. The mesoscale convective complex was accompanied by the destructive convective events and was observed on July 13, 2016. To diagnose the storms, satellite, radar, and lightning location network data are used. Conditions for the development of severe convective processes and severe weather events and the skill of their forecasting with the GFS global forecast model are analyzed.