DEVELOPMENT OF A GENERALIZED APPROACH TO FORMATION OF PREDICTIVE ESTIMATES OF CONDITIONS OF THE UNSTEADY PROCESS OF EXPERT Q-FACTOR VALUES CHANGE, THE PROJECTIBLE INFORMATION-COMMUNICATION SYSTEM
Background. The research object is the perspective information-communication systems. The research subject is the processes of formation of predictive estimates of sample values (in a general case) of the unsteady processes of condition change of models of perspective information-communication systems’ functioning. The aim of the work is to develop a generalized approach to formation of predictive estimates of conditions of the unsteady process of expert q-factor values change for the projectible information-communication systems. Materials and methods. Formation of the generalized approach is based on the methods of time series analysis using a model of autoregression of an integrated moving average. Results and conclusions. Realization of the developed approach in a software-hardware complex of an information-communication system will allow to significantly lower the degree of subjectivism of expert estimates of design-engineering decisions’ quality, taken in the course of development of the system, and as well to significantly increase the degree of automation of the expert activity.