FORECAST OF BEEF PRODUCTION FROM THE BEEF-PRODUCING ANIMALS IN THE KURGAN REGION
The article covers the issue of forecasting the production of beef in the Kurgan Oblast in 2017-2020. According to the calculation of turnover of the beef cattle herd, the increase in the number of livestock in Kurgan Oblast will be: 2018 compared to 2017 - 500 cows, or 4.27%; 2019 to 2018 - 600 cows, or 4.88%; 2020 to 2019 - 300 cows, or 2.38%; 2020 to 2017 - 1,400 cows, or 11.11%. The dynamics of beef production has the following forecast. In 2018, compared to 2017, beef will be produced more by 52.06 t, or 8.61%. In 2019, compared to 2018, the difference is 58.37 t, or 8.80%. In 2020, meat production will be increased by 84.52 t, or 11.31%, than in 2019. In total in 2020, this figure will increase by 194.95 t, or 26.08%, compared to 2017. More beef in 2017, 2019 and 2020 will be obtained from one-year older bull-calves - 73.14, 47.25 and 43.80% in the overall structure, respectively. In 2018, a large share of meat production will be on the cows that have been rejected - 45.50%. Such rates of development of the beef cattle breeding industry can be achieved through the implementation of the target programme of the Department of the Agro-Industrial Complex of Kurgan oblast "Development of Beef Cattle Breeding in Kurgan Oblast for 2017-2020".