PROVISION OF THE REGIONS OF THE SIBERIAN FEDERAL DISTRICT WITH MEAT PRODUCTS
Food security issues are becoming more topical in the context of Russia’s accession to the WTO and the economic sanctions imposed by the European countries and the countries of the North Atlantic Community. The research goal is to identify the trends in the provision of the regions of the Siberian Federal District with meat products. The current trends are found on the basis of the authors’ system of indicators which enables them to make forecasts for the district under analysis. The paper discusses the following indicators that characterize the provision of the regions with meat product: self-sufficiency, independence, import ratio of meat products, purchasing power and physical availability. The animal production potential of the regions is taken into consideration. The indicators are used to make calculations and assess the provision of the Siberian Federal District with meat products by the regions. The authors conclude that the dependence on imported meat is growing, that meat production in Siberian regions does not meet consumption standards and consumer needs. Statistical extrapolative methods are used to forecast meat production in the Siberian Federal District. By 2020 meat and meat products output in the Siberian Federal District may be 1.7 times larger and increase to 306 000 tons. It will meet per capita consumption standards set to be achieved in Russia by 2020. By the same year the share of imported meat is expected to decrease from 34% to 13%. To achieve the above mentioned aims the regions of the Siberian Federal District have to reconsider the investment flows that support the development of agriculture, meat production. Decisions should be made on the basis of an integrated approach that takes into account such factors as population incomes, effective demand, state target programs, their implementation stage and results for the region and for the national economy.