Indicative indicators of the impact of sanctions on the economy of the agro-industrial complex of the Volga Federal District
The article deals with the main characteristics of the sanctions regime in the Volga Federal District in the direction of the agro-industrial complex. The relevance of this work is visualized by the current epidemiological situation and the Russian embargo. The initial data are economic and financial indicators of the Volga Federal District agro-industrial complex in the dynamics of 2018-2020. The subject of the study is theoretical and methodological basis for assessing the effectiveness of sanctions in the sphere of agro-industrial complex. The study generates and evaluates indicative indicators of sanctions on the economy of the agro-industrial complex by comparing statistical data from previous years. Publicly available statistical indicators of the agro-industrial complex in differentiation illustrate the picture of the sanctions regime. The methods and methodology of the work are: statistical analysis, dynamic analysis, differentiation, integration, theoretical analysis, forecasting. The results of the presented study determined that the formation of indicative indicators of sanctions is formed from quantitative statistical data, which have a direct impact on the forecasting of the subsequent economic situation. The results obtained are able to provide a statistical picture in the sphere of Russian subargo and allow characterizing the dynamics of indicators of agro-industrial complex in the Volga Federal District. The study traced the dynamics of changes in the studied indicators, which revealed the positive impact of sanctions, which for most regions is expressed in a real reduction of dependence on imported agricultural products due to the consistently implemented strategy of import substitution, as well as their negative effects, which are manifested, in particular, at the level of consumption. The area of application of the research results is the forecasting of the domestic and foreign economy of the agro-industrial complex of the Russian Federation. Through the evaluation of indicative data, this study is able to project the situations of the sanctions regime to other areas of economic activity.