THE USE OF PREDICTIVE NOMOGRAMS FOR THE ASSESSMENT OF INDIVIDUAL RISK OF DEVELOPMENT OF VENTRICULAR ARRHYTHMIA IN MEN WITH ARTERIAL HYPERTENSION
In order to study the possibility of using predictive nomograms to assess the individual risk of ventricular arrhythmias in patients with hypertension, the patient is examined 151 males aged 20-60 years (mean age 43,1 ± 0,8 years). The examination included clinical and instrumental methods of research, anthropometry, followed by calculation of the fat, muscle and bone components of the body weight. As the mathematical foundations of the methodology structuring and analysis of different types of statistical data under nonparametric uncertainty. It was found that the use of this technique allows you to predict the development of heterotopic cardiac arrhythmias (ventricular arrhythmia) in men with hypertension aged 20-60 years. For nomotopnyh arrhythmias and supraventricular arrhythmia prediction proved to be impossible because of the large forecast errors, greater than 0.3. The most significant factors affecting the prognosis are the levels of systolic and diastolic blood pressure, age, weight of the index value of the left ventricular myocardium, somatometric indicators - absolute bone mass, the total amount of fat tissue.