FORECASTING OF RUSSIAN OUTBOUND TOURISM
The subject of this research is a construction of an model of outbound tourism of the Russian Federation. The decrease of purchasing power, real incomes, political crisis, sanctions lead to a reduction in opportunities for Russians to obtain quality rest in the world's tourist destinations. There is a need to quantify the influence of these factors and predict possible future developments. The main hypothesis is the existence of relationships between socio-economic indicators of the Russian Federation and the volume of outbound tourism. The conclusion of this analysis is the possibility of reducing the number of indicators to one: the average wage of Russians in Euro. The main limitation of the model is changes in methodology of the calculation of average wage in the Russian Federation.