AGE-SPECIFIC MORTALITY RATES FORECASTING BY LEE-CARTER METHOD
This article reveals Lee-Carter method on age-specific mortality rates in The Republic of Bashkortostan. Extrapolation method is lying on Lee-Carter model. Singular value decomposition is used to find coefficient k, which is a basis for arranging forecasts in model. ARIMA-models were used for creating forecasts of time series k. The final results were forecasting values of age-specific mortality rates from 2015 to 2030 year.