FORECASTING AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION IN THE REPUBLIC OF MORDOVIA
Background. The development of markets for agricultural products is an important strategic objective. Strengthening the country’s food security largely depends on the functioning of its markets for agricultural products. The state of the Russian economy is determined by the level of development of its regions as independent subjects of economic relations in the framework of a unified national economy. In this regard, the prediction factors of agricultural production with the aim of creating conditions for sustainable development and functioning of the food system in the Republic of Mordovia is relevant at both the Federal and regional level. The aim of this work is to make a prediction of agricultural production in the Republic of Mordovia for the from 2017-2020 Years. Materials and methods. Implementation of research tasks was achieved on the basis of the analysis of agricultural data collections of statistics of the Republic of Mordovia, publications in periodicals on this issue, the legislative and regulatory acts of the Russian Federation and the Republic of Mordovia for the development of agriculture. Methodological potential includes the General scientific (systemic-evolutionary and institutional) and specific methods of research (monographic, statistical and economic, settlement-constructive, and extrapolation of trends (trends), balance sheet, economic-mathematical modeling). Results. There was made the forecast of agricultural production in the Republic of Mordovia for the period from 2017 to 2020, analyzed the state of agricultural markets, the common assessment of their potential for identified vulnerable and non-vulnerable markets of agricultural products in the Republic of Mordovia. Conclusions. Predicting the most and least effective factors of agricultural production will allow to create conditions for sustainable development and functioning of the food system in the Republic of Mordovia for the from 2017 to 2020.