Method of forecasting the military and political course of foreign states in the interests of ensuring the military security of the Russian Federation
Тhe article presents the author's method of forecasting the military-political course of foreign States in the interests of ensuring the military security of the Russian Federation on the basis of political potential, which determines the sequence of application of the methods. The main emphasis is placed on the evaluation method-scaling. The political potential is considered in the article as an umbrella concept that includes economic, geopolitical and military capabilities. Attention is paid to the basics of the conceptual apparatus of forecasting, the methodology for assessing the military-political course of foreign States, which is the definition of indicators (high, low, average) characterizing the actions of the military-political leadership of countries aimed at achieving military-political goals, national interests of States. Special attention is paid to the stratification features of the system of interstate relations, which fixes a certain status and a specific role for each state, which is the basis for forecasting the military-political course of foreign States.