Prediction of pyoinflammatory complications for compound fractures of limbs’ bonesin emergency situations
Data over 1500 case histories of patients with compound solitary fractures of limbs’ bones were analyzed for development of method to predict pyoinflammatory complications in the early period of traumatic disease. Signs regarded as risk factors of these complications were selected from all the studied data. The criteria for selection were their information value, practicality and availability of detection in emergency situations. Detecting of the parameters of these factors does not require special examinations (roentgen, laboratory), and all necessary data may be established in the process of history taking, external examination of victims and their injured limbs.Modern methods of mathematical treatment were used for analysis of the data. The article presents the prognostic table, which includes 18 factors of pyoinflammatory complications, as well as the prediction technique. Reliability of the prognosis is 85.6%.