Мedium-term forecast of russian export and import of beef
In the structure of meat production in Russia, beef is 15.1%, in the structure of meat exports, beef occupies 1.7%, imports - 45.6%(data for 2018) [1]. Of our interest is the dynamics of the volumes of Russian exports and imports of beef, the reasons for their unequal ratio, what determines this dynamics and what awaits exports and imports in the medium term. The purpose of this study is to calculate a mid-term forecast until 2025 of Russian exports and imports of cattle meat. For this, the methods of economic and mathematical modeling, statistical methods of correlation and regression analysis will be used, which will make it possible to obtain forecast calculations for the period 2020-2025. As a result of the analysis and use of models, not only the predicted values, but also the factors, as well as the degree of their influence on the volumes of export and import of beef, will be determined.