PREDICTION OF THE OSTEOARTHRITIS EPIDEMIOLOGICAL TREND IN THE NORTH OSSETIA
Revealed consistently high levels (1926,0) the prevalence of osteoarthritis among the adult population of the Republic of North Ossetia-Alania for the period (2007–2015). The obtained data are correlated with indicators of the Russian Federation. In structure of diseases of the musculoskeletal system osteoarthritis is around 40 %. A leading role in shaping the prevalence of osteoarthritis is owned by four rural areas that are characterized by high growth rate of morbidity. The incidence in the city of Vladikavkaz (2415,2) exceed the average value in the Republic 1.3 times. When the alignment of the parameters of the dynamic series, there is a trend to higher levels of morbidity, on average by 5.22 % annually. While maintaining the existing trend is projected to further increase in morbidity in 2018 to 2836,6 per 100 thousand of the adult population. Prognostic estimates are important in assessing the epidemiological situation and promote the development and implementation of appropriate therapeutic and preventive measures for its improvement.