THE LETHAL OUTCOME PROBABILITY FORECASTING AT HIV-INFECTED PATIENTS IN VIEW OF ANTIRETROVIRAL THERAPY
The probability of a lethal outcome within 12 months in 331 HIV-infected of the patients accepting antiretroviral therapy (ART) is defined. With the help of regression model were chosen five parameters which influence on risk of a lethal outcome is proved: sex, disease stage, CD4 cells level, haemoglobin level, presence of the diagnosed tuberculosis. According to the developed model probabilities of death in 3, 6, 9 and 12 months from the beginning of ART have been defined.