TRENDS IN PUBLICATION ACTIVITY OF RUSSIAN ORGANIZATIONS IN 2000-2019
It has been repeatedly noted that the number of publications by Russian researchers grew rapidly in 2012-2021, but this growth was uneven both quantitatively and qualitatively. Moreover, in some scientific organizations, publication activity not only did not grow, but even fell. To understand the real development of the scientific sector, it is necessary to analyze the dynamics of dozens of indicators for hundreds of organizations. However, how to explore such numerous data series? To solve this problem, the article uses a time series trend classification method based on a combination of three statistical tests of randomness or lack of a trend: the Cox-Stuart test, the inversion test, and the Mann-Kendall test. With its help, for each of the 701 leading Russian scientific organizations and universities, a series of scientometric parameters were classified.These series characterize various aspects of publication activity, including a comprehensive publication score, the average level of publication quality, and the share of articles in conference proceedings. The differences between the trends of organizations of different types and performance categories are shown. Based on them, the authors formulated new research questions that are related to the causes of trends in the development of the Russian science.