METHODS FOR ASSESSING THE PROBABILITY OF DELAYS IN THE IMPLEMENTATION OF LONG-TERM PROJECTS
The article is devoted to the problem of effective management of long-term projects, in which there are high risks of untimely execution of individual stages, which may lead to the disruption of the entire project. The authors propose an approach to estimating the probability of project delays, using an adequate distribution law, which is implemented in EXCEL. The article presents the results obtained on the statistical model of the project.