REVIEW OF METHODS FOR PREDICTING SOCIALLY DANGEROUS BEHAVIOR OF A SPECIAL CATEGORY OF CONVICTS IN A CORRECTIONAL INSTITUTIO
The analysis of scientific research on the topic of forecasting socially dangerous behavior has shown that more often in publications the issues of criminological forecasting of crime are considered, the result of which is the forecast of probable changes in crime for the coming period.In some scientific studies, the prediction of the crime of convicts in places of deprivation of liberty is considered, and we also drew attention to studies of predicting the risk of public danger in persons with mental disorders. However, there is a small amount of modern research concerning the prediction of the behavior of certain categories of convicts and the application of specific techniques and methods of forecasting in relation to them. In our study, we will touch upon aspects of predicting the behavior of convicts serving a sentence of imprisonment and having mental disorders that do not exclude sanity. The article reveals the relevance of the chosen problem, provides an overview of forecasting methods and concludes that the forecast of behavior of a special category of convicts (serving sentences and having mental disorders that do not exclude sanity) is mandatory during the serving of punishment, and especially during the preparation for release.