Expected scenario of development of a pig-breeding sub complex of Russia
The author considered the main features and problems of development of branch of pig-breeding which became aggravated after joining of Russia to the WTO: growth of volumes of import because of decrease in the customs duties, reduction of prices of pork hulks and live pigs is lower than a cost, the excess offer of pork for the domestic meat-processing enterprises, a sharp rise in prices for the fodder grain, brought to growth of prime cost by 25%, epidemic of the African plague of pigs. All this led to delay of implementation of investment projects, considerable decrease in profitability. It is predicted that by the end of 2013 in branch only zero profitability will be restored. Return of domestic pig-breeding to landslide level of operational performance of 2005 and decrease thus pork outputs on 1,2 million tons in live weight will lead to decrease in predicted gross domestic product on 200 billion rubles, loss of 25 thousand workplaces and also reduction of the budgetary income.