Methodological issues of assessing and predicting the standard of living of the rural population of the Talas region
The methodical questions of estimation and forecasting of a standard of living of the rural population of Talas region are investigated. The methodical questions of calculation of indicators of a standard of living of the population applied in official statistical bodies are considered, features of differences in a standard of living of separate regions of our Republic are defined. Based on the study of the dynamics of changes in indicators characterized by the standard of living of the population of the Kyrgyz Republic and Talas region for 2013-2017. the reasons for the low living standards of the Talas region are revealed, the factors influencing the changes in the living standards of the rural population of the region are determined. In the calculations of forecasting the standard of living of the population it is proposed to apply the methods of expert assessments and the method of economic and mathematical modeling, which can be used to develop a target comprehensive program of socio-economic development of rural areas by local governments of the region. On the basis of research and analysis of methods of forecasting socio-economic development of regions in the near and long term, it is proposed to calculate the projected indicators of living standards at the level of local government of the Talas region.