METHODOLOGY OF INDIVIDUAL CRIMINOLOGICAL FORECASTING OF CRIMINAL BEHAVIOR OF PERSONS SERVING SENTENCES IN INSTITUTIONS OF THE PENAL SYSTEM OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION
According to official statistics, over the past 5 years there has been a consistent increase (from 54.9% to 59.8%) in the proportion of acts committed by persons who have already violated the criminal law (from the number of previously investigated crimes). About 30% of those who have violated the criminal law have previously been convicted, the actions of one in five are recognized as recidivism, including dangerous or especially dangerous. The facts of the increase in crime among previously convicted persons suggest the need for the use of methods of individual criminological forecasting of criminal behavior of persons in the process of serving their courtappointed punishment by employees of institutions of the penal system of the Russian Federation. Forecasting the criminal behavior of persons serving sentences in institutions of the penitentiary system of the Russian Federation makes it possible with a high degree of probability to identify persons prone to repeated criminal acts. The issues of criminological forecasting in Russian science have been dealt with relatively recently, but it is already showing its effectiveness. In this regard, there is a need to study the methods of individual criminological forecasting.