THE FORECAST OF DYNAMICS OF DISEASE OF A SYPHILIS IN ALTAY TERRITORY
The basic maintenance of research compounds construction of the forecast of disease by a syphilis (the general and under separate forms) in Altay territory the proximate five years. As a stuff for the analysis the data of forms of the state statistical reporting has served. According to the received data in Altay territory decrease in the general disease by a syphilis, thus practical public health services will proceed should be ready to augmentation of quantity of cases of serotinal forms of a syphilis and neurosyphilis. The conducted researches have shown that application of methods of mathematical statistics and modelling for definition of dynamics of disease by a syphilis is necessary at planning preventive actions.