Project-oriented management of the labor market segmentation
The article substantiates the forecast-oriented proposals for regulating demand and supply for workers who are in demand by the modern economy for professional and qualification qualities, considering the Russian practice of employment promotion and advanced foreign forecasting experience. The aim of the article is to develop a mechanism of forecast-oriented management of regional labor markets segmentation on a professional and qualification basis as an alternative to foreign forecast models in the field of labor balance. The relevance of using the forecast-oriented management elements in the Russian practice is due to undeniable advantages of foreign experience in development, improvement and realization of economic and mathematical forecast models in the professional and qualification segment. To solve this scientific problem, the authors combined five most important aspects of foreign forecast modeling (methodological, instrumental, criteria for segmentation elements, statistical, probabilistic) and reasonable elements of the mechanism to apply advanced foreign experience for Russian employment promotion. The article used the results of two waves of a longitudinal study (December 2018 and June 20l9) to analyze the dynamics of the vacancies declared by employers in the national database "Work in Russia", and to expertize interaction of regional employment service authorities with high-tech employers by the example of production company "Materia Medica Holding". An online survey with 246 experts was carried out in May 2019. The mechanism combines methodological and instrumental basis reasonably: 1) forming groups of constituent entities of the Russian Federation considering regional differences in the labor markets and the integral rating of the regions with the stated high vacancies for the most popular professions and occupations for the main groups according to the Russian classification of professions OK 010-2014; 2) effective regulation of financial support and its targets in the field of promoting employment of the population of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation; 3) methodological recommendations for improving information and communication technologies that ensure effective interaction of employment service bodies with individuals and employers; 4) guidelines for enhancing the motivation of employees of employment centers who have achieved good results in attracting vacancies and improving their dynamics. Implementing the proposed mechanism will contribute to the forecast-oriented basis: - positive dynamics of the vacancies declared by employers, increase in the number of regions with the maximum declared vacancies on the most popular professions and occupations for the main groups according to the Russian classification of professions, tension decrease in the regional labor markets; - outstripping growth in spending on active policies compared to spending on passive activities while reducing unemployment according to the ILO methodology and tension in the labor markets in a regional context.