Application of risk-oriented approach when planning and organizing of antiepizootic measures In the territory of a territorial entity
The work shows the need to introduce a risk-oriented approach when carrying out epizootic monitoring and control, due to regional features of the epizootic manifestation of various nosoforms of contagious pathology of productive animals, as well as the limited financial and human resources assigned for antiepizootic activities. Based on the analysis of scientific data and generalization of international experience in the evaluation of epizootic risks, the need to elaborate a multi-criteria decision-making model that allows to control epizootic risks on the territory of the Russian Federation is identified. Proprietary methodology for assessing and ranking epizootic risks, which is used to identify and rate top infectious nosoforms, which are the greatest threat to epizootic safety of the territorial entities of the Russian Federation, has been proposed. To determine the structural components of the risk-oriented model, the methods of expert assessments and mathematical statistics were used, a systematic literature review, a retrospective epizootologic analysis, and a meta-analysis were carried out. As a result, 36 criteria for assessing epizootic risks, combined into 6 categories, were identified. The final value of the rating is suggested to be determined by summing the values obtained by evaluating the criteria in points from 1 to 5 to the corresponding weighting factor of the category. The possibility of using the developed method of multicriteria estimation of epizootic risks for making regulatory decisions to determine the amount of antiepizootic measures necessary for carrying out in a territorial entity of the Russian Federation. The results of the studies are the starting material for correction and improvement of the antiepizootic support of livestock on the territory of the Russian Federation.