THE PROBLEM OF FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF ISSUED CERTIFICATES AND DECLARATIONS OF CONFORMITY
The paper formulates the problem of predicting the number of certificates and declarations of conformity issued for communication equipment in the Russian Federation, and looks for solutions. The problem’s complexity is two-fold. First, the use of formal forecasting methods is not always reasonable for several reasons. We should note a relatively small size of the statistical data. Second, the telecommunications industry is going through drastic changes, so the importance of arbitrary forecasting methods is increasing.