DEVELOPMENT OF A MODEL FOR CHOOSING THE MOST EFFECTIVE DIRECTIONS OF REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT BASED ON COGNITIVE MODELING
A brief analysis of approaches to the classification of natural resource potential, approaches to the management of the region, including resource type, is given. It is shown that with the help of cognitive modeling, it is possible not only to simulate real economic processes both at the country level and at the regional level, but also it is possible to assess the control effects and determine which factors and in what quantity they are necessary for the development of economic systems. A multifactorial cognitive management model of a region with a predominantly mineral resource orientation is proposed, in which the target factor is an increase in the welfare of citizens, which is a qualitative indicator. At the same time, a multi-criteria approach to the selection and evaluation of factors has been developed: 1) When assessing the potential of mineral resources, the results of an economic assessment of the development of deposits using a profitable approach will be used, in addition, an expert assessment will be used to determine the possibility and prospects for the development of mineral deposits. 2) When assessing such influencing factors as the impact on the economic development of various sectors of the national economy (mining complex, manufacturing, agro-industrial complex, etc.), the results of calculations of the regression model of panel data by region, as well as statistical data that will become the main one for expert assessment of the impact of these factors will be used. 3) Other factors that are mainly qualitative (the development of transport infrastructure, the development of energy infrastructure, the level of development of the social sphere, the ecological state of the region, external risks (political, social, etc.) will be determined by the expert method. 4) The effective factor - the increase in the welfare of citizens will be determined by the results of modeling.