Russian agro-industrial complex: from import substitution to export-oriented development
The article considers the process of development of the system of external export of Russian agricultural products in dynamics from 2015 to 2021 in key areas presented by official statistics. Positive results in the formation of export-oriented agro-industrial complex of the country were highlighted. Also identified are the serious problems facing the industry, the peculiarities of the adaptation of the Russian agro-industrial complex to the conditions of the pandemic, the transformation of national demand for agro-industrial products and fluctuations in the structure of exports - imports. An assessment of the specifics of forecasting in the industry was carried out, a comparative analysis of real indicators for 2021 and forecasts for the same year developed as part of the project «Export of agro-industrial products» was presented. The conclusion was made about the rather high potential of the agro-industrial complex in overcoming dependence on imports and the transition to export-oriented development. However, at the same time, the refusal (or significant decrease in volumes) of imports in some areas of the agro-industrial complex, especially scientific, remains, at least, in the medium term, unlikely.