INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES IN THE SOLUTION OF A TASK OF OPTIMIZATION AGRARIAN PRODUCTIONS TAKING INTO ACCOUNT MANIFESTATION OF HIGH FLOODS AND SPRING HIGH WATERS
In article models of planning of agricultural production in the conditions of manifestation of the high spring floods and the rain floods are proposed. The problems of mathematical programming reflecting an action on production of a rare hydrological event and combination of events are considered. The algorithms based on modeling of rare natural events within the period, taking into account the historical and archival data, and determine the probability of the event on the condition of exceeding the modeled values over a given actual level are developed for the solution of the formulated problems.