ESTIMATION OF METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS ON THE FLIGHTS AREA USING A PROBABILISTIC APPROACH
The bayesian approach to the estimation of meteorological conditions on the flights area in the presence of limited information is presented. Carried out the calculated experiment of obtaining and processing of information on weather conditions, according to the crew of the air reconnaissance weather shows that for district flight with a low frequency of severe weather occurrence, the quality of the message significantly increases the updated probability of a particular weather condition.